Chile the Best OECD Economy During the Last Two Years

Mercopress reports:

For the second year running Chile becomes the OECD member with the highest GDP expansion which this year will reach 5.2% compared to the 1.4% average. November’s estimate in 0.8 percentage points higher than last May’s forecast.
Likewise the Chilean economy will outperform in 2013, (4.6%) and in 2014 (5.4%) its peers from the “developed countries club” although the slower pace next year is attributed mainly to lesser exports to the Euro zone.

What will the economies of major nations be like in 2042? If current growth rates continue the GDP per capita will resemble the chart below.

Chile Growth Projections

Country Growth rate % Debt % of GDP GDP 2012 GDP 2042
Chile 4.4 11 $18,354 $67,599
Australia 3.0 27 $42,354 $104,039
Canada 1.9 88 $41,507 $74,074
USA 1.7 107 $49,802 $81,978
Spain 1.4 91 $30,412 $46,779
Britain 1.4 89 $36,728 $55,733
Germany 1.1 83 $39,059 $54,440
Italy 0.0 126 $30,116 $30,315
Portugal 0.0 119 $22,991 $22,873

Australia is a standout, passing by a wide margin Britain, Canada, Germany and the USA. Clearly, it’s better to be in Asia than Europe. Chile is a standout, too, rising from the bottom to pass Portugal, Italy, Spain, Britain and Germany. Of course, most countries don’t sustain high growth for 30 years; Australia and Chile will probably become overconfident, expand the welfare state, and wreck the economy like Europe, Canada, and the USA. Democracies have a way of slowly disintegrating as soon as voters figure out that becoming wealthy is easier by voting and redistributing than by working and investing.

The outlook seems good for Chile in the next few years; the government anticipates
catching up to Portugal by 2017. Given the dire situation in Portugal, I think Chile will surpass it sooner. The Supreme Court of Portugal recently ruled that it is unconstitutional for the government to cut the budget!

Chilean real estate is skyrocketing so the government has convened a group to warn them when it becomes an unsustainable bubble:

Due to concerns regarding an increase of residential real estate prices, the Chilean Financial Stability Council (Consejo de Estabilidad Financiero) has announced the creation of a new group to monitor residential real estate sector risk. The group, comprised of representatives of the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank and Superintendents of Pensions, Securities and Insurance and Banks, will seek to identify and monitor systemic threats to local financial stability.

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A Tragedy for the Louisiana Economy

Income taxes are the most destructive taxes. Photo courtesy of Chris Potter via Flickr.

As United Statesians submit their income taxes today, Forbes reports that the Governor of Louisiana, Bobby Jindal, is surrendering the struggle to phase out the income tax in his state, a dismaying development because the nearby southeast states of Texas, Florida, and Tennessee impose no income tax and the economies of these states are booming. The Marxists of the People’s Party who struggled for 20 years to add the graduated income tax to the Constitution, implementing the Second Plank of the Communist Manifesto, would be proud of their successors. As the protest demonstration below shows, United Statesians enthusiastically promote big government.

United Statesians love big government so much that they protest for higher taxes. Photo courtesy of Martha Soukup via Flickr.

Louisiana refused to repeal the state income tax because it requires replacement by a sharp increase in a regressive sales tax paid disproportionately by the poor. The regression could have been easily eliminated by providing exemptions for necessities like clothing, grocery food, and medicine, as in states like New Jersey and Massachusetts. Sales taxes are paid only by rich people who buy luxuries; income taxes are involuntary punishment imposed on people who work and invest.

Taxes are a form of social engineering because a taxed good or service is produced in reduced quantities. The best taxes are sin taxes on alcohol, tobacco, sugar, and pollution as long as the tax rate is not high enough to encourage evasion. The income tax is difficult and vexatious to calculate, rewarding parasites that refuse to work and dishonest people who report false expenses and omit income. Who does the income tax punish? Investors and honest people who work hard.

Office suppliers love income taxes because it increases demand for their products. Photo courtesy of Liz West via Flickr.

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A Nomad Looks at 50

Tomorrow is my 50th birthday. I remain healthy and happily married after 18 years. I’m lucky because I haven’t suffered major health problems or divorce or struggle against depression or anxiety. My life hasn’t been as accomplished as Randy Pausch, author of The Last Lecture, but I’ve lived longer. Mary and I have seen quite a bit of the world passing winters in Baja California, Santiago de Chile, Scottsdale, and Bucerias and summers in Vail, Santa Monica, Fort Collins, and Austin. We even made trailer trips to Southern California and the San Francisco Bay area!
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A Magic Machine at Home

Kacie Hultgren, a theater set designer in New York, owns Pretty Small Things where she sells miniature furniture created with a magic machine, a Makerbot 3D printer. Hultgren also sells her art on Thingaverse, a universe of things created with the magic machine.

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Restore the White House Tours to the Public!

The White House thinks calligraphers are more important than public tours of the White House. Photo courtesy of Wikipedia.

President Obama has eliminated tours of the White House to the public, the people who paid for the opulent building, as part of budget sequestration, an arcane political procedure whereby the USA government budget will increase by $7 trillion during the next decade rather than $8 trillion as politicians had planned. Some contend that he eliminated tours so that disappointed tourists might contact their Congressional representatives to lobby for eliminating the sequester, restoring the large planned budget increase.
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Rich People Emigrating from Democracies to Dictatorship in Singapore

Eduardo Saverin, a Facebook founder, has emigrated from the USA to Singapore. Photo courtesy of Wikipedia.

The Wall Street Journal explained why rich people are emigrating to the dictatorship in Singapore:

Many Americans and Europeans just want a place where their investments can keep growing—hardly a problem in Singapore, smack in the middle of the fast-growing Asia.

“This kind of sharp change [in the global economy] brings with it an emergence of the very rich, who seek security and stability and a pronounced need for financial services in wealth management, investment, and facilitating and guiding decisions,” Quah says. “A place like Singapore has developed both the reputation and the expertise along every single one of these dimensions.”

But what really checks all the right boxes for many of the world’s ultra-rich is Singapore’s obsession with order, predictability and control, all of which give comfort to individuals whose fortunes have recently gone down the drain in many parts of the world. It doesn’t hurt that Singapore has some of the lowest taxes in the world, including none on capital gains and most foreign dividends. But it also has relatively secretive private banking laws and zero harassment from paparazzi or protesters, whose activities are narrowly proscribed by Singaporean authorities, further creating an aura of order and stability.

….The irony, as with other earlier boomtowns, is that the very sources of Singapore’s success may ultimately prove its undoing. The gushers of cash that have flooded Singapore in recent years have put relentless upward pressure on property prices, with private-home prices rocketing 59 percent higher since the second quarter of 2009, even as real-estate prices have tumbled or gone sideways in much of the rest of the world. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong was only admitting the obvious, some analysts say, when in a recent interview he said that the country’s property boom is “almost a bubble.”

Singapore has enacted a huge tax on real estate tax on foreigners, hoping to contain the bubble. In a rare service to United Statesians, the government has secured an exception to the tax for United Statesians because the free trade agreement with Singapore requires both governments to refrain from unjust discrimination: since citizens of Singapore don’t pay the tax, United States don’t pay, either. There are 5 other countries that have similar agreements with Singapore, all small, none with population greater than 20 million. Equal protection of the law is rare. The Wall Street Journal reports:

This month, the government boosted to 15% from 10% the fee added to the purchase price of residential property bought by many foreign nationals, including the Chinese, who were the second-largest group of foreign buyers last year. In contrast, U.S. buyers don’t have to pay the surcharge, thanks to a bilateral trade accord with Singapore….

Singapore’s government imposed the tax in December 2011 on most foreigners to fight what it contends is excessive speculation in the property market. Private-home prices have surged 59% since the market’s most recent trough in 2009.

The government worries that foreign buying is introducing the risk of a market bubble and making homes less affordable for Singaporeans, which is feeding a growing resentment of foreigners. But the move risks alienating some wealthy foreigners, including the Chinese, whose home-buying activity dropped markedly last year after the government imposed the original 10% surcharge.

One of the founders of Facebook, Eduardo Saverin, emigrated to Singapore a few months before Facebook sold stock to the public. Some people have speculated that he emigrated to reduce his taxes.

Stock fund manager Jim Rogers emigrated to Singapore to provide a better education and prosperous future for his daughter. Photo courtesy of Wikipedia.

Stock fund manager Jim Rogers emigrated to Singapore in 2007. A British newspaper published his thoughts on governments bailing out incompetent businesses:

When asked his advice for a young person growing up in Britain, Jim Rogers, former partner of George Soros and one of the world’s most successful investors, is forthright. “Move to China; learn Chinese.” In an interview with The Independent, Mr Rogers warns that Britain will go bankrupt if the Government continues to follow its present policy of attempting to save the banks through subsidy and nationalisation.

He has sold all his sterling assets and has “no position” in sterling, but Mr Rogers reveals that he had been planning to short-sell sterling in the present financial crisis, before recent disparaging remarks about the pound’s prospects from his own lips had put paid to those plans. “I should have kept my mouth shut.”

Mr Rogers had in mind a repeat of his previous coup, when he and Mr Soros’s Quantum Fund famously “broke” the Bank of England in 1992, when sterling was forced out of the European exchange rate mechanism, costing UK taxpayers $1bn and making Mr. Soros and Mr. Rogers correspondingly wealthier.

Rogers was motivated to provide a prosperous future and better education for his daughter, Happy:

Happy Rogers, age 8, stands among her classmates in the schoolyard at dismissal time, immune, it seems, to the cacophonous din. Her parents and baby sister are waiting outside, but still she lingers, engrossed in conversation. A poised and precocious blonde, Hilton Augusta Parker Rogers, nicknamed Happy, would be at home in the schoolyard of any affluent American suburb or big-city private school. But here, at the elite, bilingual Nanyang Primary School in Singapore, Happy is in the minority, her Dakota Fanning hair shimmering in a sea of darker heads. This is what her parents have traveled halfway around the world for. While her American peers are feasting on the idiocies fed to them by junk TV and summer movies, Happy is navigating her friendships and doing her homework entirely in Mandarin.

Fluency in Chinese, she says—in English—through mouthfuls of spaghetti bolognese at a Singapore restaurant, “is going to make me better and smarter.”

The Wall Street Journal also reports that Nathan Tinkler, the richest Australian younger than 40, has emigrated; and Singapore “has a marginal individual tax rate of 20% for the highest income bracket, which compares with 45% for the top income bracket in Australia. Unlike Australia, Singapore has no capital-gains tax…” and Singapore “boasts the highest percentage of millionaire households in the world…. New Zealand billionaire Richard Chandler relocated to Singapore in 2008.”

Israeli venture capitalist Arnon Kohavi moved from Israel to the USA to Chile to Singapore. Chileans who complain about the vast difference between rich and poor should note that the Gini index of Singapore, 47.3, is almost as high as Chile, 52.1. The Gini index of Hong Kong is even higher (53.7). A country that offers opportunities to become rich won’t entice everyone to embrace those opportunities. According to Matias Mori of the Foreign Investment Committee of Qatar, “Chile in the Latin American context is what Singapore is to Asia. It is the most institutionalised, economically efficient, and transparent business destination.”

Related posts:
Why Apple and Facebook are Governed by Dictators
How Voting is Similar to Child Abuse
Election Boycotts in Chile and the Brigantine Pilgrim

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Is Warren Buffett a Liar?

One of the richest people in the world, Warren Buffett, says that he wants to pay more taxes because he pays a smaller percentage than his secretary. In the video below, Peter Schiff claims that Buffett is lying. Is that so?

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Ronald Reagan’s Stories of the Soviet Union

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The Adventures of Fritz the Dog

The following stories are from the inexpensive Kindle book, High, Wide and Lonesome: Growing Up on the Colorado Frontier by Hal Borland.

Fritz Catches a Jackrabbit
Fritz was always with me while I was cricketing around on my crutches. He chased ground squirrels and tried to catch meadow larks and now and then flushed a jack rabbit. Usually he knew enough not to try to catch a jack, but one afternoon he flushed the biggest, fattest jack I’d ever seen and it didn’t want to run. Fritz knew it. He took after it.
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Writing an Autobiography

One of my favorite free Kindle books is The Story of My Life by Clarence Darrow, the great criminal defense lawyer best known as the hero in the Scopes Monkey Trial in 1925. The book is available from Project Gutenberg Australia. This post is an excerpt written in 1932, six years before he died.

Clarence Darrow courtesy of Wikipedia.

I have noticed that most autobiographers begin with ancestors. As a rule they start out with the purpose of linking themselves by blood and birth to some well-known family or personage. No doubt this is due to egotism, and the hazy, unscientific notions that people have about heredity. For my part, I seldom think about my ancestors; but I had them; plenty of them, of course. In fact, I could fill this book with their names if I knew them all, and deemed it of the least worth….

It is obvious that I had nothing to do with getting born. Had I known about life in advance and been given any choice in the matter, I most likely would have declined the adventure. At least, that is the way I think about it now. There are times when I feel otherwise, but on the whole I believe that life is not worth while. This does not mean that I am gloomy, or that this book will sadden the Tired Business Man, for I shall write only when I have the inclination to do so, and at such times I am generally almost unmindful of existence.
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